MIT Economist Sees Housing Market Roaring Back, by Dakota, curbed.com


Picking up on the news that housing starts–ie, the start of construction of new buildings and homes–picked up in August, rising to the biggest levels seen November, Fortune says the housing market “is still far from recovery” but also points out its on “bullish take on the housing market,” a piece centered largely around a 2009 paper by economist Bill Wheaton at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology‘s Center for Real Estate. Yes, stop all those stories about how the days of seeing our homes as money-generating nest eggs are over. In short, Wheaton thinks the market will come roaring back, partly because so little construction is going on. Via Fortune: “The crux of Wheaton’s argument lies in the rate of residential construction today. It’s been historically low – so low that he believes demand is actually exceeding the level of building going on. This helps set the grooves for a relatively large comeback in residential investment. Here’s how Wheaton backs the imbalance of demand for housing units and residential construction. He estimates that housing demand in 2009 was at about 1.1 million units – more than twice construction at the time. At this rate, the excess inventory will eventually be absorbed. “It’s going to be a long time before construction picks up with demand,” Wheaton says, adding that this should help housing prices.”
· Housing market shows glimmer of hope [Fortune]
· A housing rebound? Yes, it’s possible [Fortune]

http://la.curbed.com/archives/2010/09/mit_economist_sees_housing_market.php

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