Economic Growth Stronger Than Predictions?


Popular Economics Weekly

There are signs that economists have underestimated GDP growth this year. The New York Times surveyed economists in a recent Sunday front page article, that said growth could increase to 3 percent from the 2 percent norm of the past 3 years. “That is the surprising new view of a number of economists in academia and on Wall Street, who are now predicting something the United States has not experienced in years: healthier, more lasting growth,” said the Nicholas D. Schwartz article.

And consumers are spending more. May retail sales surprised on the upside and increased 0.6 percent on the month and were up 4.3 percent from a year ago. Retail sales excluding just autos and excluding both autos and gasoline were up 0.3 percent from April, much as expected. On the year, they were up 2.8 percent and 4.1 percent respectively.


Graph: Econoday

This is reflected…

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