MIT Economist Sees Housing Market Roaring Back, by Dakota, curbed.com


Picking up on the news that housing starts–ie, the start of construction of new buildings and homes–picked up in August, rising to the biggest levels seen November, Fortune says the housing market “is still far from recovery” but also points out its on “bullish take on the housing market,” a piece centered largely around a 2009 paper by economist Bill Wheaton at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology‘s Center for Real Estate. Yes, stop all those stories about how the days of seeing our homes as money-generating nest eggs are over. In short, Wheaton thinks the market will come roaring back, partly because so little construction is going on. Via Fortune: “The crux of Wheaton’s argument lies in the rate of residential construction today. It’s been historically low – so low that he believes demand is actually exceeding the level of building going on. This helps set the grooves for a relatively large comeback in residential investment. Here’s how Wheaton backs the imbalance of demand for housing units and residential construction. He estimates that housing demand in 2009 was at about 1.1 million units – more than twice construction at the time. At this rate, the excess inventory will eventually be absorbed. “It’s going to be a long time before construction picks up with demand,” Wheaton says, adding that this should help housing prices.”
· Housing market shows glimmer of hope [Fortune]
· A housing rebound? Yes, it’s possible [Fortune]

http://la.curbed.com/archives/2010/09/mit_economist_sees_housing_market.php

Multnomahforeclosures.com Updated with New Notice of Default Listings


The new update of the Multnomah Foreclosures web site (http://multnomahforeclosures.com/) includes NOD listings dating back to February of 2008. This data was added because we had it and there has been a lot of interest in this data by the visitors of the site.

Multnomah Foreclosures
http://multnomahforeclosures.com/

Five Ways to Avoid Mortgage Foreclosure, Tips from Expertforeclosurehelper.com


If you fail to make your mortgage payments on time or if you default on your payments, you are in danger of foreclosure. This happens more and more frequently in today’s economic climate. But it is possible to avoid mortgage foreclosure if you know what to do.

Here are a few of the options that are available to you. These are only going to be open to you if you can get the cooperation of your lender.

– See if your lender would be willing to re-arrange your payments based on your current financial situation. This may be referred to as a special forbearance and you may qualify for it if your financial situation has changed. To qualify for this you will probably have to provide information to your mortgage holder to prove that you will be able to meet the payments of the new plan.

– Another option may be a modification of your actual mortgage. This would involve refinancing the amount owed and/or extending the term of the mortgage. The goal is to reduce monthly mortgage payments so they are more affordable for you.

– You may qualify for an interest free loan from HUD to bring your mortgage up to date if you meet certain conditions. This is referred to as a partial claim and your lender can help you with the application process and explain the conditions of this type of loan. You can also contact your local HUD office for more details.

– Another way to avoid mortgage foreclosure is to consider a pre foreclosure sale. The purpose is to sell your home and clear up your debts to avoid foreclosure and damage to your credit. If you know that you will be unable to make mortgage payments even if they are lowered, this may be something to consider. You will have to see if your lender will agree to give you some extra time to sell before foreclosing.

– A final option which should be considered only as a last resort is a deed-in-lieu of foreclosure. In this case you are basically turning your house over to your mortgage institution instead of paying off the mortgage.

Even though you will lose your home this may be a better option than losing it to foreclosure. That’s because your chances of obtaining another mortgage loan at some point in the future are better than if your home is lost due to foreclosure.

These are the main alternatives that you have as you try to avoid mortgage foreclosure. Be sure to contact your lender at the first sign of financial difficulty so they can help you find the option that will be best for you.

Learn about 6 practical steps you can take to avoid foreclosure.

If it’s too late for that, find out how to stop a foreclosure by going to getforeclosurefacts.com

Expert Foreclosure Helper
expertforeclosurehelper.com

Betty Jung’s Blog: Market Update: Building Permits 2007 vs. 2008


And, here are some more numbers:

According to the Construction Monitor www.constructionmonitor.com and the Home Builders Association of Metropolitan Portland, here is the 2008 Year-to-Date Building Permit activity by county.  It is at its lowest since 1991.

Many small builders haven’t built anything new in several months and in some cases more than a year.  If you read my recent post Market Update:  New Construction, you will see there is still a large inventory of new homes that builders need to unload.  Remodeling is also lagging.

In addition, many of the local builders here have filed for bankruptcy protection as I reported in my “Top 50 Builders in Oregon” post.  This weekend, I happened to notice another one of our larger local builders, whom I won’t name, is selling some of his lot inventory.  Is he in trouble or is he just making sure he won’t be? 

2008 Year-to-date Building Permit Activity by County

2008

2007

Difference

WASHINGTON COUNTY

 

 

 

Single Family

650

1,681

-1,031

Duplexes/Twin Homes

0

0

0

Other Residential Structures

23

96

-73

Residential Remodels

291

442

-151

MULTNOMAH COUNTY

 

 

 

Single Family

643

1,249

-606

Duplexes/Twin Homes

23

84

-56

Other Residential Structures

29

66

-37

Residential Remodels

1,004

1,312

-308

CLACKAMAS COUNTY

 

 

 

Single Family

619

1,361

-743

Duplexes/Twin Homes

4

9

-5

Other Residential Structures

91

209

-118

Residential Remodels

417

606

-189

YAMHILL COUNTY

 

 

 

Single Family

256

370

-114

Duplexes/Twin Homes

30

13

+17

Other Residential Structures

32

154

-122

Residential Remodels

91

95

-4

Source:  Construction Monitor (www.constructionmonitor.com) and David Nielsen, Home Builders Association of Metropolitan Portland.

Copyright ©Betty Jung 2008.  All Rights Reserved.

Disclaimer: All information in this post is subject to change without notice. Subject matter is an opinion, is not guaranteed, may be time sensitive, and may be based on information collected from several sources which may or may not be reliable at the time of sourcing.  

(For more local and national real estate news, click on my monthly newsletter – JUNG’S JOURNAL – on my website www.bettyjung.com).
Betty Jung
Broker
RE/MAX equity group, inc.
503-495-5220 or email:bettyjung@remax.net